I like this format and framing of "90% of what matters" and someone should try doing it with other subjects.
Decision theory/trade reasons
I think this still means MIRI is correct when it comes to the expected value though
The thing that got me was Pause AI trying to coalition with people against AI art. I don't really have anything against the idea of a pause but Pause AI seems a bit simulacrum level 2 for me.
A subpoena for what?
I don't think I'm really looking for something like that, since it doesn't touch on the perception of music as much as it does the reasons why we have it.
Isn't TLP's email on his website?
Sure, I just prefer a native bookmarking function.
You can actually use this to do the sleeping beauty experiment IRL and thereby test SIA vs SSA. Unfortunately you can only get results if you're the one being put under.
I think the prior for aliens having visited Earth should be lower, since it a priori it seems unlikely to me that aliens would interact with Earth but not to an extent which makes it clear to us that they have. My intuition is that its probably rare to get to other planets with sapient life before building a superintelligence (which would almost certainly be obvious to us if it did arrive) and even if you do manage to go to other planets with sapient life, I don't think aliens would not try to contract us if they're anything like humans.