conchis comments on The Aumann's agreement theorem game (guess 2/3 of the average) - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (149)
Here's an interesting question: What percentage of outliers would need to be thrown out for you to confidently guess zero (assuming general pre-knowledge of how many will be thrown out, of course)?
I'd probably feel extremely confident if, for instance, only the middle third was kept.