conchis comments on The Aumann's agreement theorem game (guess 2/3 of the average) - Less Wrong
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Comments (149)
No, that's not a general rule. It's just the case that in this particular game, if you're losing you always have a better option that can be achieved just by changing your own strategy. If your prospects for improvement relied on others changing their strategies too, then you could lose and still be in a Nash equilibrium. (For an example of such a game, see battle of the sexes)
Sort of. It's that there's no way to do better with an alternative strategy, given perfect knowledge of others' strategies.
They do in the actual game; it's just that that's not relevant to evaluating what counts as a Nash equilibrium.
I'm not entirely clear what you mean by the first half of this sentence, but the conclusion is false. Even if everyone guessed in turn, there would still be a Nash equilibrium with everyone playing zero.
No problem. ;)
Sorry I didn't/can't continue the conversation; I've gotten rather busy.