John_Maxwell_IV comments on The Aumann's agreement theorem game (guess 2/3 of the average) - Less Wrong
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Right. I'm going to guess the smallest number I think no one else will guess to maximize my chances of being the only winner. I don't place any value in winning along with a lot of other people.
<strike>Also, the OP is wrong that the iterated 2/3 process will eventually produce 0. If everyone plays 1, then 2/3 of 1 will round back up to 1.</strike> Edit: Sorry, in a version of this game I once played you were restricted to guessing integers.
2/3 is a valid guess.