John_Maxwell_IV comments on The Aumann's agreement theorem game (guess 2/3 of the average) - Less Wrong

15 [deleted] 09 June 2009 07:29AM

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Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 12 June 2009 12:06:02AM *  -1 points [-]

Right. I'm going to guess the smallest number I think no one else will guess to maximize my chances of being the only winner. I don't place any value in winning along with a lot of other people.

<strike>Also, the OP is wrong that the iterated 2/3 process will eventually produce 0. If everyone plays 1, then 2/3 of 1 will round back up to 1.</strike> Edit: Sorry, in a version of this game I once played you were restricted to guessing integers.

Comment author: [deleted] 12 June 2009 01:27:43AM 1 point [-]

2/3 is a valid guess.