dclayh comments on The Aumann's agreement theorem game (guess 2/3 of the average) - Less Wrong

15 [deleted] 09 June 2009 07:29AM

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Comment author: dclayh 13 June 2009 07:00:36AM 3 points [-]

Proposal for a variation: players may guess any positive real number, and the winner is the one closest to the first quartile of the distribution of answers. This removes both the anchoring effect of the upper bound and the effects of a few jokesters guessing Graham's number and Busybeaver(100) and so on.

It also has the feature of being somewhat more opaque to game-theoretic analysis, at least for me.

Comment author: Peter_de_Blanc 13 June 2009 09:54:08PM -2 points [-]

Graham's number isn't between 0 and 100.

Comment author: dclayh 14 June 2009 01:22:39AM 1 point [-]

Obviously. The change from 2/3 the mean to first quartile is only required because of the no-upper-bound change.