PhilGoetz comments on You can't believe in Bayes - Less Wrong

4 Post author: PhilGoetz 09 June 2009 06:03PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (58)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 09 June 2009 11:01:20PM 0 points [-]

The probability value, which is what is being thrown away, is what is needed for a Bayesian analysis. Saying that that data is not useful means asserting that Bayesian analysis is not useful.

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 09 June 2009 11:16:58PM 1 point [-]

Precise Bayesian analysis is often impossible, and impossible can't be useful. A notch down, take the difficulty of analysis as a counterbalance. Only if you can show that in a given situation you can do better by including that additional info, that is justified, not in general.

Comment author: Annoyance 10 June 2009 04:54:14PM 0 points [-]

It often isn't. Bayesianism isn't the be-all, end-all of logic. It's just another tool in the toolbox.