RobinZ comments on Rationality Quotes - June 2009 - Less Wrong
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My source was this Roger Kimball article. I just found the book that Kimball references on Google Books and it doesn't seem to contain any version of that quote, so for now I'd guess that your version is more accurate. Ideally we'd want to find the original German version.
I found a site which purports to offer Notebook F, from which the quote is supposed to be taken - the text there reads:
which appears to conform with the Mautner & Hatfield text.
It could be that Moritz Carrière is to fault. In his Aesthetik, he quotes Lichtenberg as claiming people cannot count to sixteen.