Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Cascio in The Atlantic, more on cognitive enhancement as existential risk mitigation - Less Wrong

20 [deleted] 18 June 2009 03:09PM

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Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 18 June 2009 07:56:34PM 1 point [-]

How the heck is that a giant cheesecake fallacy?

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 18 June 2009 08:15:17PM *  2 points [-]

Both are special cases of the following fallacy. A certain factor increases the strength of some possible positive effect, and also the strength of some possible negative effect, with the consequences of these effects taken in isolation being mutually exclusive. An argument is then given that since this factor increases the positive effect (negative effect), the consequences are going to be positive (negative), and therefore the factor itself is instrumentally desirable (undesirable). The argument doesn't recognize the other side of the possible consequences, ignoring the possibility that the opposite effect is going to dominate instead.

Maybe it has another existing name; the analogy seems useful.

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 19 June 2009 09:04:19AM 3 points [-]

Giant cheesecake is about the jump from capability to motive, usually in the presence of anthropomorphism or other reasons to assume the preference without thinking.

This sounds more like a generic problem of technophilia (phobia) - mostly just confirmation bias or standard filtering of arguments. It probably does need a name, though, like Appeal to Selected Possibilities or something like that.