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saturn comments on Cascio in The Atlantic, more on cognitive enhancement as existential risk mitigation - Less Wrong
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If we assume that causing risk requires a certain intelligence level and mitigating risks requires a certain (higher) level, changing the distribution of intelligence in a way that enlarges both groups will not, in general, enlarge both by the same factor.
Obviously. A coin is also going to land on exactly one of the sides (but you don't know which one). Why do you pronounce this fact?
That statement shows a way in which the claim that increasing the number of intelligent people will increase rather than decrease risk might be supported.