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wuwei comments on Cascio in The Atlantic, more on cognitive enhancement as existential risk mitigation - Less Wrong
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That's a good point, but it would be more relevant if this were a policy proposal rather than an epistemic probe.
I don't see why this being an epistemic probe makes risk per near future time unit more relevant than total risk integrated over time.
The whole thing is kind of academic, because for any realistic policy there'd be specific groups who'd be made smarter than others, and risk effects depend on what those groups are.