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Vladimir_Nesov comments on Cascio in The Atlantic, more on cognitive enhancement as existential risk mitigation - Less Wrong
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But that action is a necessary part of producing a conclusion.
Holding a belief, without first going through the stages of searching for relevant data, is a positive error - one that can be avoided by the simple expedient of not reaching a conclusion before an evaluation process is complete. That costs nothing.
Asserting a conclusion is costly, in more than one way.
At each point, you may reach a conclusion with some uncertainty. You expect the conclusion (certainty) to change as you learn more. It would be an error to immediately jump to inadequate levels of certainty, but not to pronounce an uncertain conclusion.