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Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on What's In A Name? - Less Wrong
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You could maybe do Bayesian updates on this if you had a large enough pool of name-changers and a large enough pool of names previously investigated, but it probably wouldn't end up being "statistically significant" by journal standards.
Can you expand on what sort of "statistically insignificant" Bayesian update would be a useful thing to do?