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Dan_Moore comments on Revisiting torture vs. dust specks - Less Wrong
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Proof left to the reader?
If I am to choose between getting a glass of water or a cup of coffee, I am quite confident that neither choice will lead to torture. You certainly cannot prove that either choice will lead to torture. Absolute certainty has nothing to do with it, in my opinion.
You either have absolute certainty in the statement that neither choice will lead to torture, or you allow some probability of it being incorrect.