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CronoDAS comments on Good Quality Heuristics - Less Wrong
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In a field in which you personally are not an expert, the closest you can come to the truth is to accept the opinion of the majority of the experts in the age in which you live.
(Courtesy of my father.)
Note that a relevant application of this heuristic would be global warming.
Warning: once you couple an argument to a current political debate, people quickly lose their ability to think rationally about it...
Only if they don't make their saving throw. Dawkins gets a lot of deconversion stories in his email.