Roko comments on The Strangest Thing An AI Could Tell You - Less Wrong

81 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 15 July 2009 02:27AM

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Comment deleted 15 July 2009 07:31:22AM *  [-]
Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 15 July 2009 05:16:56PM 20 points [-]

I don't think that an AI would be able to tell me anything stranger than I have already learned in the last 10 years of my life:

You know, as soon as I finished reading this sentence, and before reading anything else, the same cognitive template that produced the AI-Box Experiment immediately said, "I bet I can tell him something stranger, never mind an AI."

Comment deleted 15 July 2009 08:03:08PM *  [-]
Comment author: AllanCrossman 15 July 2009 09:34:52PM *  3 points [-]

Will you email me and tell me this odd thing

Did Eliezer have a specific thing in mind? I thought he meant that - like in the AI Box experiment - he suspects a human could already do what it's being predicted a superintelligence could not. Without yet knowing how.

Comment deleted 15 July 2009 09:36:18PM [-]
Comment author: GuySrinivasan 15 July 2009 09:42:11PM 5 points [-]

I can have an intuition about the solvability of a problem without much clue about how to solve it, and definitely without a set of possible solutions in mind.

Comment deleted 15 July 2009 11:42:20PM *  [-]
Comment author: Peter_de_Blanc 16 July 2009 08:41:58PM 2 points [-]

Maybe he has a mathematical model.

Comment author: Liron 15 July 2009 08:28:52PM 2 points [-]

I think "you have a tail" is stranger.

Comment deleted 15 July 2009 08:54:10PM *  [-]
Comment author: [deleted] 16 July 2009 05:52:38AM 5 points [-]

It wouldn't even surprise me if Barack Obama were a closet furry. But maybe I'm generalizing from one example.

Anyway, if you selected a random human out of all humans that have ever lived up to right now, what do you think is the probability that you would select a living one? I'd bet more than 1%.

Comment author: DanielLC 09 April 2011 09:11:17PM 2 points [-]

It wouldn't even surprise me if Barack Obama were a closet furry.

It would surprise me. I'm pretty sure closet furries are pretty rare. I just wouldn't be more surprised than that about any other given person.

Anyway, if you selected a random human out of all humans that have ever lived up to right now, what do you think is the probability that you would select a living one?

From what I've read, estimates vary from 5% to 10%.

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