Warrigal comments on Timeless Decision Theory: Problems I Can't Solve - Less Wrong
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Well, it seems to me that you always want to do this. According to timeless-reflectively-consistent-yada-yada decision theory, the best decision to make is to follow the strategy that you would have chosen at the very beginning.
The precise constraint this problem places on you is that the context you make your decision in is that there is a 50% chance that your decision results in you getting $1,000,000 instead of nothing.
Treat your observations as putting you in the context in which you make your decision.