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wuwei comments on Joint Distributions and the Slow Spread of Good Ideas - Less Wrong
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In the community of sports statistical analysis, the most-accepted hypothesis is that coaches are reluctant to try new strategies for rational reasons. If the new strategy succeeds, they get a bit of utility, but if the new strategy fails, they get fired -- and so lose a lot more utility.
Being a maverick has a negative expectation for the coach, even though it might have a positive expectation for the team.
This hypothesis makes a lot more sense to me than assuming that coaches are unaware of the result.
Yes. And since being a maverick has a similar negative expectation for most working people, it seems well-placed to explain the slow spread of good ideas more generally as well.