hyporational comments on Shut Up And Guess - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (105)
Considering our evolutionary history, why would such an action look foolish? If you come up with a just so story, consider making up a similar story for the alternative.
Well do you agree it looks more foolish to be wrong than to say "I don't know."?
Depends on the context. If guessing is clearly useful, then not guessing might be seen as foolish.
Well that's true of pretty much any generalization about human nature. Let me put the question slightly differently:
Do you agree that generally speaking it looks more foolish to be wrong than to say "I don't know."?
Sure.
Ok, why do you think so? I think it's because being wrong undermines your credibility and/or reputation for competence.