eirenicon comments on Thomas C. Schelling's "Strategy of Conflict" - Less Wrong

81 Post author: cousin_it 28 July 2009 04:08PM

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Comment author: SilasBarta 28 July 2009 05:40:06PM 2 points [-]

I haven't read this book, but I can't see how Schelling would convincingly make this argument:

Leo Szilard has even pointed to the paradox that one might wish to confer immunity on foreign spies rather than subject them to prosecution, since they may be the only means by which the enemy can obtain persuasive evidence of the important truth that we are making no preparations for embarking on a surprise attack.

It's true that enemy spies can provide a useful function, in allowing you to credibly signal self-serving information. However, deliberate, publicly-known policies of aiding enemy spies defeats the purpose, because at that point, it's indistinguishable from counterespionage. After all, why not go one step further and feed spies truthful information? Same problem applies here.

Comment author: eirenicon 28 July 2009 09:45:37PM 6 points [-]

You're not aiding spies in getting information, you're just lowering the risk they take, which encourages more spying. Someone in high position could leak information, only risking being fired, not being shot. This does not change the reliability of the information, which, in spying, is always in question anyway.