The amount of irrationality surrounding the obesity topic is really absurd. This following is a good example:
http://www.jhsph.edu/publichealthnews/press_releases/2008/wang_obesity_projections
The article claims that by 2030 86% of Americans will be overweight. This is based purely on extrapolating the trends of the last 30 years. My own reading of the actual literature on the topic implies that a large minority of people are simply not weight-gainers. They have a lower appetite or have faster metabolisms or something other factor that protects them from weight gain. My understanding is that the rate of overweight has been increasing more slowly in recent years, as essentially all the people capable of becoming overweight already have.
Also, if obesity lowers life expectancy and causes serious health problems, I would expect people who are genetically more prone to obesity to have fewer descendants. I also suspect slimmer people probably reproduce more because 1. fitter men are more sexually successful and 2. pregnancy can be complicated by obesity. Since cheap, readily available fatty foods have only been available recently, the obese-prone have never been strongly selected against until now. Basically, fast food is kicking obese people out of the gene pool.
Related To: The Unfinished Mystery of the Shangri-La Diet and Missed Distinctions
Megan McArdles blogs an interview with Paul Campos, author of The Obesity Myth. I'll let anyone who is interest read the whole thing, but here's some interesting excerpts:
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