Also, if obesity lowers life expectancy and causes serious health problems, I would expect people who are genetically more prone to obesity to have fewer descendants. I also suspect slimmer people probably reproduce more because 1. fitter men are more sexually successful and 2. pregnancy can be complicated by obesity. Since cheap, readily available fatty foods have only been available recently, the obese-prone have never been strongly selected against until now. Basically, fast food is kicking obese people out of the gene pool.
Also, if obesity lowers life expectancy and causes serious health problems, I would expect people who are genetically more prone to obesity to have fewer descendants.
This is a fun theory, but I don't think it, y'know, works. Not being in the African savanna anymore, "pregnancy can be complicated by obesity" seems unlikely to have a powerful long-term effect. The effect is small enough in the aggregate population that it will easily be washed out.
Basically, yes, the obese would have slightly fewer children, ceteris paribus, but in dealing with...
Related To: The Unfinished Mystery of the Shangri-La Diet and Missed Distinctions
Megan McArdles blogs an interview with Paul Campos, author of The Obesity Myth. I'll let anyone who is interest read the whole thing, but here's some interesting excerpts:
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