I don't see why it matters if everyone who's overweight loses 2 points or if a fifth of them each lose 10 points. Instead of having one person cut their BMI from 40 to 30, we could have one person go from 40 to 38, another from 38 to 36, ..., and a fifth from 32 to 30. None of them will feel like they accomplished much, but the overall public health benefit will be the same.
The one way that unequal weight losses could be better would be if people who benefit more from losing weight (which would presumably be the people who are the most overweight) tend to lose more than other people. That seems like a plausible outcome for some policies (like junk food taxes), but with other policies (like subsidies on gym memberships) you might get the opposite.
I don't see why it matters if everyone who's overweight loses 2 points or if a fifth of them each lose 10 points.
Assume that BMI is actually useful. Then, assume everyone below median dropped 2 BMI points, and everyone above median stayed the same. This would lower the mean without having positive health effects (it might even have negative health effects). If you flip it, so the above-median lose weight, it'd have more positive health effects despite yielding the same mean. The overall public health benefit is simply not determined by the average effec...
Related To: The Unfinished Mystery of the Shangri-La Diet and Missed Distinctions
Megan McArdles blogs an interview with Paul Campos, author of The Obesity Myth. I'll let anyone who is interest read the whole thing, but here's some interesting excerpts:
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