Now, if your point of view is informed, the right way forward in the argument would be producing citations.
I am literally so baffled by the thesis presented above I can't bring myself to disagree with it because I must be missing something. I mean, within five minutes on Google I found five studies showing strong correlations between various measures of body fat and coronary heart disease:
If I was willing to give it an hour, I'm sure I could have found sixty of them, and I know there are many similar studies about type II diabetes, cerebrovascular disease, et cetera. Because many of these are prospective studies, they have a better ability to show causality than longitudinal studies (although still not perfect). And another five minutes on Google find me several interventional studies about how turning fat people into thin people improves their health:
So what exactly is the thesis? That all of these studies are flawed in the same way? That there's some vital causal step that's been left out? Surely the author must know about these, right?
I think the story goes like this: there are correlations between weight and health. There are disputes, but let us skip that and assume for the sake of argument that thin people live longer than fat people. The next question is whether this is causal. If a fat person makes a big effort and becomes thin, will he have a long life, just like a person who was thin to begin with?
We can fill in the details of what the experiment looks like. We start with 200 fatties who want to get thin, and a random assignment of 100 to the control group, who get the usual crap...
Related To: The Unfinished Mystery of the Shangri-La Diet and Missed Distinctions
Megan McArdles blogs an interview with Paul Campos, author of The Obesity Myth. I'll let anyone who is interest read the whole thing, but here's some interesting excerpts:
and