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rwallace comments on The Hero With A Thousand Chances - Less Wrong

63 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 31 July 2009 04:25AM

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Comment author: rwallace 31 July 2009 06:38:48AM 1 point [-]

And yes, "a lot of lucky heroes" is what I'm thinking - suppose there have been a thousand wins at 50-50 odds, that's about 300 decimal orders of magnitude, which makes it almost certain that the counterforce really does exist. If the number were less, that makes the anthropic explanation more likely. That's why I would check on the numbers before drawing the anthropic conclusion.