rwallace comments on The Hero With A Thousand Chances - Less Wrong

62 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 31 July 2009 04:25AM

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Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 31 July 2009 05:59:29AM 0 points [-]

Rick Cook's "Wizard's Bane" has Shiara the Silver; that was a neighbor that came to mind when I wrote Aerhien.

Also, even going on only the words Aerhien says out loud, it sounds like there've been a lot of lucky heroes.

Comment author: rwallace 31 July 2009 06:38:48AM 1 point [-]

And yes, "a lot of lucky heroes" is what I'm thinking - suppose there have been a thousand wins at 50-50 odds, that's about 300 decimal orders of magnitude, which makes it almost certain that the counterforce really does exist. If the number were less, that makes the anthropic explanation more likely. That's why I would check on the numbers before drawing the anthropic conclusion.