anonym comments on Misleading the witness - Less Wrong

14 Post author: Bo102010 09 August 2009 08:13PM

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Comment author: Jonathan_Graehl 10 August 2009 09:12:33PM 0 points [-]

I was briefly tempted to answer 10 cents to the first problem.

one study was done at University of Toledo'' -- where the mean score on his test was 0.57 out of a possible 3 -- ''and one study was done at Princeton,'' where the mean was 1.63

I'm just thrilled to think of how dumb our elite (top 10% and top 2% respectively?) are.

Almost a third of high scorers preferred a 1 percent chance of $5,000 to a sure $60.

Maybe those are just the high scorers who got 3/3 (avoiding the tempting surface error) almost by sheer chance.

Comment author: anonym 15 August 2009 05:52:16PM 0 points [-]

I would guess that most people who got the first problem correct also had "10 cents" as their initial thought, for about a half or second or so before they had finished reading the question and before they had actually started deliberatively thinking about the problem.