Eliezer_Yudkowsky comments on Towards a New Decision Theory - Less Wrong
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"Decide as though your decision is about the output of a Platonic computation" is the key insight that started me off - not the only idea - and considering how long philosophers have wrangled this, there's the whole edifice of justification that would be needed for a serious exposition. Maybe come Aug 26th or thereabouts I'll post a very quick summary of e.g. integration with Pearl's causality.