I'm not sure the halved doubling time for quantum computers is right.
Maybe I'm not getting into the spirit of accepting the proposed counterfactuals - but is quantum computer performance doubling regularly at all? It seems more as though it is jammed up against decoherence problems already.
It's a purely theoretical counterfactual about the combination of Moore's law and Grover's algorithm.
Moore's law says that the computer becomes twice as efficient in 18 months. Grover's algorithm says that the time taken by a quantum computer to solve SAT is the square root of the time required by a classical computer. Thus in 18 months, Moore's law of hardware should make the quantum computer 4 times as fast.
Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Aaronson - Percontations: Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Mechanics
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