This vague outline is the result of Eliezer yielding to our pleas to say something - anything - about his confident solution to Newcomb's problem. Now that it's been posted as a not-obviously-formalizable text, and people are discussing it informally, I share a lot of your disappointment. But let's give the topic some days and see how it crystallizes.

What's Flare? (...looks it up...) Oh dear Cthulhu, oh no.

(Edit: I originally listed several specific users as "refusing to formalize". That was wrong.)