= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Alicorn comments on Ingredients of Timeless Decision Theory - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (226)
People have been trying to solve the problem since the day it was presented, and it's pretty clear that you don't understand which parts of this particular solution are supposed to be novel. The main novel idea is the incorporation of logical uncertainty into Pearl-style causal graphs and the formulation of the counterfactuals as surgery over those causal graphs.
The idea that rationalists should make lots of money, versus the idea that rationalists should appear very reasonable, has been a central point of controversy from the beginning.
Talking about dispositions and precommitments has been going on since the beginning.
If you're going to start waving judgments of novelty around, then read the literature.
One problem here is that the "particular solution" tha I am apparently expected to be understanding the novelty of hasn't actually been published. Instead what we have is some notes.
The problem I was considering involves finding a method which obtains the "right" answer to problems like Newcomb's problem and The Smoking Problem with a decision theory. If you are trying to solve some other problem, that's fine.