RickJS comments on Ingredients of Timeless Decision Theory - Less Wrong
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Well, I mulled that over for a while, and I can't see any way that contributes to answering my questions.
As to " ... what does your choice effect and when?", I suppose there are common causes starting before Omega loaded the boxes, that affect both Omega's choices and mine. For example, the machinery of my brain. No backwards-in-time is required.