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Grognor comments on Ingredients of Timeless Decision Theory - Less Wrong
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Comments (226)
Creating a counterfactual similar to a situation we're familiar with helps us form intuitions about it more easily. You could replace the problem, perhaps, with the old saw about the Calvinist deity, predetermination, and the decision to enjoy a life of sin.
Doesn't evidential decision theory get the right answer in that problem, and causal the wrong one? in which case it's the opposite of the smoking lesion problem.
That's correct. I don't know what the person who wrote the grandparent of this comment could have been thinking; it's as if he didn't understand decision theory...