But if I had stopped at just one roll of 5, I wouldn't have been able to make this post, and that wouldn't have been any fun!
Anyway, I thought that making a silly comment would be less painful than giving up actual money. It's not like we've been trying hard to present ourselves in a particularly dignified manner on this blog, anyway. What's wrong with wearing the clown suit once in a while?
It's not like we've been trying hard to present ourselves in a particularly dignified manner on this blog, anyway.
I place importance on the opinions of outsiders who stumble across the site and see the things I say associated with my real name. Maybe we need an invite-only Lesswrong Premium™ where we sit around in clown suits discussing our sex lives (or lack thereof).
I'm going to test just how much the people here are committed to paying a Counterfactual Mugger, by playing Omega.
I'm going to roll a die. If it doesn't come up 5 or 6, I'm going to ask Eliezer Yudkowsky to reply to this article with the comment "I am a poopy head." If I roll a 5 or 6, I'm going to donate $20 to SIAI if I predict that Eliezer Yudkowsky will post the above comment.
Because Eliezer has indicated that he would pay up when counterfactually mugged, I do predict that, if I roll a 5 or 6, he'll respond.
::rolls die::
Darn it! It's a 5. Well, I'm a man of my word, so...
::donates::
Um, let's try that again. (At least I've proven my honesty!)
::rolls die::
Okay, this time it's a 1.
So, Eliezer, will you post a comment admitting that you're a poopy head?