Gary_Drescher comments on Timeless Decision Theory and Meta-Circular Decision Theory - Less Wrong
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Consider a different scenario where people with and without the gene both desire to smoke, but the gene makes that desire stronger, and the stronger it is, the more likely one is to smoke. Even when you observe your own utility function, you don't necessarily have a clue whether the utility assigned to smoking is the level caused by the gene or else by the gene's absence. So your observation of your utility function doesn't necessarily help you to move away from the base-level probability of having cancer here.