= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Wei_Dai comments on Timeless Decision Theory and Meta-Circular Decision Theory - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (37)
Are you sure you're not anthropomorphizing the decision procedure? If I actually run through the steps that it specifies in my head, I don't see any place where it would say "why bother" or fail to do the prediction.
No, in UDT1 you don't update on outside computations like that. You just recompute the EU.
In any case, you shouldn't know wrong things at any point. The trick is to be able to consider what's going on without assuming (knowing) that you result from an actual choice.
This doesn't seem right. You update quite fine, in the sense that you'd prefer a strategy where observing utility-maximizer choose X leads you to conclude that X is the highest-utility choice, in the sense that all the subsequent actions are chosen as if it's so.