fburnaby comments on Mathematical simplicity bias and exponential functions - Less Wrong

12 Post author: taw 26 August 2009 06:34PM

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Comment author: MendelSchmiedekamp 26 August 2009 08:40:12PM 0 points [-]

Generally (and therefore somewhat inaccurately) speaking, one way that our brains seem to handle the sheer complexity computing in the real world us is a tendency to simplify the information we gather.

In many cases these sorts of extremely simple models didn't start that way. They may have started with more parameters and complexity. But as they were repeated, explained and applied the model becomes, in effect, simpler. The example begins to represent the entire model, rather than serving to show only a piece of it.

Technically the exponential radioactive decay model for radioactivity of a mixture has most of the pieces you describe fairly directly. But this hardly means they will be appropriately applied, that they will be available when we are thinking of how to use the model. We need to fight the simplification effect to be able to make our models more nuanced and detailed - even though they are still almost certainly lossy compression of the facts, observations, and phenomena they were built from.

On the other hand, the simplification serves its purpose too, if we could devote unlimited cognitive resources to a model, then we risk not being unable to actually reach a decision from the model.

Comment author: fburnaby 27 August 2009 01:28:06AM 0 points [-]
Comment author: MendelSchmiedekamp 27 August 2009 05:44:42PM 0 points [-]

No. The Medawar zone is more about scientific discoveries as marketable products to the scientific community, not the cultural and cognitive pressures of those communities which affect how those products are used as they become adopted.

Different phenomena, although there are almost certainly common causes.