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Jonathan_Graehl comments on Open Thread: September 2009 - Less Wrong
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I'm curious about how Less Wrong readers would answer these questions:
What is your probability estimate for some form of the simulation hypothesis being true?
If you received evidence that changed your estimate to be much higher (or lower), what would you do differently in your life?
To answer both, there's no consequence. So I choose not to invent a completely arbitrary prior.
I do enjoy fantasizing about possible measurable consequences of particular types of simulations. Perhaps if I'm interesting enough, I'll be copied into other simulations; perhaps we can discover some artifact of variably approximate simulation when no important observer is near, etc.