Wei_Dai comments on Outlawing Anthropics: An Updateless Dilemma - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (194)
Er, turning games with sequential moves into games with simultaneous moves is standard in game theory, and "never cheat, always punish cheating" and "always cheat, never punish" are what are considered the Nash equilibria of that game in standard parlance. [ETA: Well, "never cheat, punish x% of the time" will also be a NE for large enough x.] It is subgame perfect equilibrium that rules out "never cheat, always punish cheating" (the set of all SPE of a sequential game is a subset of the set of all NE of that game).
Yeah, I used the wrong terminology in the grandparent comment. I guess the right way to put it is that SPE/backwards induction no longer seems reasonable under UDT and it's unclear what can take its place, as far as reducing the number of possible solutions to a given game.