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James_K comments on Solutions to Political Problems As Counterfactuals - Less Wrong
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This post is entirely sensible, and is in line with the approach of policy analysts to addressing policy problems.
When you're devising a solution to some policy problem, part of the process is to identify "policy levers", where a policy lever is essentially some variable that is causally entangled with the policy problem and causally entangled with the actions of your agency (or some other agency you hope to persuade).