cupholder comments on Avoiding doomsday: a "proof" of the self-indication assumption - Less Wrong

18 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 23 September 2009 02:54PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (228)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: cupholder 14 April 2010 10:53:12PM 0 points [-]

Looking back, I'm not certain if I've answered the question.

I think so: I'm inferring from your comment that the principle of indifference is a rationale for treating a deterministic-but-unknown quantity as a random variable. Which I can't argue with, but it still clashes with my intuition that any casino using the millionth bit of pi as its PRNG should expect to lose a lot of money.

I agree with your point on arbitrary seeding, for whatever it's worth. Selecting an arbitrary bit of pi at random to use as a random bit amounts to a coin flip.