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Unknowns comments on Non-Malthusian Scenarios - Less Wrong
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Comments (88)
If predicting the far future is very difficult, why should "future people will be very rich" be different from "future people will be very poor"? Shouldn't it be just as hard to be sure of one as the other?
Yes, I think to a first approximation it's equally hard to have confidence in either of those predictions. Which is why I'm not arguing for "future people will be very rich" but rather that Robin may be too confident in "future people will be very poor".