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Nominull comments on The Scylla of Error and the Charybdis of Paralysis - Less Wrong
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OK, so you obviously wait on the first turn, because that can't possibly kill him. And if you get two cards of the same color on the first two turns, you treat him for that disease until he's cured or he dies, no matter what any future cards turn up. The interesting question is what if they alternate?
EDIT: THIS IS WRONG, DO NOT BELIEVE IT
Can you explain your reasoning about two cards of the same color? I don't follow.
That's probably because I'm wrong ^^;
I had the numbers working out to be that by the time you would get two cards worth of contradictory evidence for the original treatment, the fact that the original treatment hadn't killed him yet was enough evidence to keep going. But, my counting was off by a day. Whoops!