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Johnicholas comments on The Scylla of Error and the Charybdis of Paralysis - Less Wrong
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Can you explain your reasoning about two cards of the same color? I don't follow.
That's probably because I'm wrong ^^;
I had the numbers working out to be that by the time you would get two cards worth of contradictory evidence for the original treatment, the fact that the original treatment hadn't killed him yet was enough evidence to keep going. But, my counting was off by a day. Whoops!