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Wei_Dai comments on The Anthropic Trilemma - Less Wrong
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I can't switch over to UDT because it doesn't tell me what I'll see next, except to the extent it tells me to expect to see pi < 3 with some measure. It's not that it doesn't map. It's that UDT goes on assigning measure to 2 + 2 = 5, but I'll never see that happen. UDT is not what I want to map my preferences onto, it's not a difficulty of mapping.
That's not what happens in my conception of UDT. Maybe in Nesov's, but he hasn't gotten it worked out, and I'm not sure it's really going to work. My current position on this is still that you should update on your own internal computations, but not on input from the outside.
ETA:
Is that the same point that Dan Armak made, which I responded to, or a different one?