gwern comments on PredictionBook.com - Track your calibration - Less Wrong

34 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 14 October 2009 12:08AM

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Comment author: gwern 02 August 2010 07:06:20AM 0 points [-]

I've finished importing all the sensible bets and predictions from LB. I suppose the next target is Wrong Tomorrow, and then I'll turn to Intrade.

(I see next to no contributions from LWers. This disappoints me; do we all think we are well-calibrated or what?)

Comment author: gwern 11 August 2010 05:59:40AM *  0 points [-]

Wrong Tomorrow turns out to be something like half or more expired predictions which haven't been judged (and only the moderators/admins can do that, so...). Imported the outstanding predictions faster than I expected, so that's done.

Next is Intrade and our 2010 predictions, unless anyone has other suggestions.