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Jonathan_Graehl comments on PredictionBook.com - Track your calibration - Less Wrong
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Comments (52)
I found this question puzzling, and difficult to answer (I'm sleep deprived). Funny joke if you were sneakily trying to get me to make a prediction.
Unfortunately I'm pretty well anchored now.
I'd expect LW-haunters who decide to make predictions at PB.com to make 15 on the first day and 10 in the next year (with a mode of 0).