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orthonormal comments on Simultaneously Right and Wrong - Less Wrong
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Comments (52)
First, welcome to Less Wrong! Be sure to hit the welcome thread soon.
Doesn't your hypothesis here predict compensation for overconfidence in every situation, and not just for easy tasks?
Yes it does.
...
Is there some implication I'm not getting here?
Um, I don't actually remember now– I thought that one of the results was that people compensated more for overconfidence when the tasks were not too difficult. But I don't see that, looking it over now.