Wei_Dai comments on Money pumping: the axiomatic approach - Less Wrong
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This part is wrong, because you're assuming that after the draw to determine whether I have B or D, my preferences regarding A vs. B and C vs. D must be the same as they were before the draw. If I have A ≤ B and C ≤ D before the draw, but A > B and C > D after the draw, then you wouldn't be able to money pump me, even though my preferences violate Independence.
Why did you make this implicit assumption? I think it's because under Independence, your preferences can't change like that, without opening yourself to being time inconsistent and money pumped. But with non-Independent preferences, your preferences have to change as events occur in order to avoid time inconsistencies and being money pumped.