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thomblake comments on Raising the Sanity Waterline - Less Wrong

114 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 12 March 2009 04:28AM

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Comment author: thomblake 12 March 2009 09:26:55PM *  8 points [-]

Even better:

Evidence for the existence of God: my ancestors saw God and talked to him, and he did really great things for them, and so they passed down stories about it so that we'd remember. Everybody knows that.

Evidence for the existence of Jesus: same.

Evidence for the existence of Hercules: same.

Evidence for the existence of Socrates: same.

Evidence for the existence of Newton: same. Okay, we have a few more records of this one.

Comment author: HughRistik 12 March 2009 09:37:14PM 2 points [-]

Exactly. These are all sane beliefs, even though only some of them are rational.

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 24 March 2010 02:17:36PM 2 points [-]

Mohammed is solidly part of history.

Comment author: thomblake 24 March 2010 03:26:19PM 4 points [-]

Certainly not more solid than Newton

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 13 March 2009 01:12:54AM *  1 point [-]

When a coin comes out tails ten times in a row, you'll bet on it being rigged strictly depending on your prior belief about how much you expect it to be rigged. Evidence only makes sense given your prior belief, inferred from other factors. If I hear a report of a devastating hurricane, I believe it more than if the very same report stated that a nuclear bomb went off in a city, and I won't believe it at all if it stated that the little green men have landed in front of the White House.

Comment author: JamesAndrix 13 March 2009 02:05:11AM 1 point [-]

This is one of the principles of rationality I'm proud to say I discovered on my own: http://heresiology.blogspot.com/2006/01/intelligent-design-1.html

Short version: An interesting formation on earth might be a sign of human involvement, and interesting formation on mars, not so much.