AdeleneDawner comments on Less Wrong Q&A with Eliezer Yudkowsky: Ask Your Questions - Less Wrong
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It also has the advantage of making it clear that the chance that the statement is accurate is dependent on the competence of the person making the statement - people who are more intelligent and/or have more experience in the relevant domain will consider more, and more accurate, evidence to be readily available, and may have better intuitions, even if they are sticking to system 1 thought.
I suppose they don't need different wordings, but they do feel like different concepts to me. *shrug* (As I've mentioned elsewhere, I don't think in words. This is not an uncommon side-effect of that.)